EP00
The Capone Ledger
The proof is in the books.
Rocco Capone tests strategy videos with real backtests. The point is to see whether the rules hold up when the hand-picked winners stop.
The episodes
Watch the case files.
EP01
She Said "Go Try It Yourself." So I Backtested It 709,061 Times
The crew’s packaged re-run
28 tests. No edge in any.
Tori Trades’ trendline bounce
The Backtest Crew’s packaged re-run tested crude oil, the S&P 500, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, long and short. None of the 28 tests showed an edge.
Results lean on a few rare huge winners. Remove those trades and most profitable-looking results fall to zero or below.
Source: the crew’s REPORT.md, tested October 11, 2026. EP01 is the bigger earlier test with 709,061 trades; the results on this page are the separate packaged re-run.
Her own setup / crude oil 15m long
−5.7R over 101 trades after costs.
The one-unit money return was +12.2%, against +14.8% buy & hold.
R measures profit or loss relative to each trade’s risk. One-unit money returns compound position gains and losses. They can disagree — and here, simply holding did better.
The scorecard.
Total R after costs, long trades, same six rows as the table. Bars to the right made R, bars to the left lost it. Big totals lean on a few huge winners: Ethereum 1h falls to −8.5R without its best 3 trades.
Scroll the table sideways on a phone to see every column. “Money (1 unit)” compounds gains and losses from trading one unit at full size. Open trades are excluded.
| Market | Chart | Trades | Win rate | Avg per trade | Total | Money (1 unit) | Buy & hold | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude oil (CL=F) | 15m | 101 | 16.8% | -0.06R | -5.7R | +12.2% | +14.8% | LOSES MONEY |
| Crude oil (CL=F) | 1h | 177 | 13.6% | -0.42R | -74.9R | -21.4% | +14.8% | NO EDGE |
| SPY | 15m | 51 | 9.8% | -0.78R | -39.9R | -3.9% | +4.9% | LOSES MONEY |
| Bitcoin | 1h | 1,275 | 17.5% | +0.18R | +225.8R | -39.5% | +505.1% | NO EDGE |
| Ethereum | 1h | 999 | 19.1% | +0.73R | +725.1R | +706.8% | +241.9% | NO EDGE |
| Ethereum | 4h | 332 | 22.6% | +1.57R | +520.6R | +665.9% | +241.9% | NO EDGE |
Big winners carry the results.
Ethereum 1h long made +725.1R in the table. Remove its best three trades and the report puts it at −8.5R. Bitcoin 1h long made +225.8R while its one-unit account lost 39.5%.
Read the limitations too.
The crude oil 15m test covers about two months. Some rules required explicit assumptions. Large trades still open at the end are excluded, and the short rules mirror long rules that were actually shown.
Her setup, with costs in the picture.
This published example does not expand current customer coverage: forex and futures are not yet available for customer backtests.